Openai GPT Opinion
In ten to five years, Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) definitely will reduce the number of developers in many fields. The reason for that is the current AGI, especially Openai Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), even with the incredible improvement, cannot replace the whole process an individual is doing. You still need to tweak or modify AGI's final output, regardless of speeding up the time of doing specific tasks.
When AGI Will Replace People
When AGI can produce an output that does not need to be modified or tweaked with the production's reliability. For example:
- Ask AGI to make a complete system design for specific applications. Then AGI does it from A to Z, which includes building deploy code, a testing server, handle storage.
- Ask AGI to handel flight schedule in real time. Give the plane permission to land and another to wait in the sky while the landing lane gets empty.
Then at that level, AGI can replace people. And new jobs in monitoring with a degree of understanding of what is happening. But you will need one person and AGI to replace a large team of 100+ people.
Future
In the future, many valuable AGIs will be specific to particular areas or even countries. One thing I am interested in is reaching a possible AGI-to-AGI communication without any issues.